“Liberal pollster predicts blowout victory for presidential candidate
©AP
A liberal pollster’s latest projection shows Donald Trump securing a blowout victory over Kamala Harris. Nate Silver’s prediction places the Republican hopeful’s chances of winning the electoral college vote at 63.8 percent, compared to 36 percent for Harris.
Liberal pollster predicts blowout victory for presidential candidate
Silver’s modelling, published on his blog Silver Bulletin, also places Trump ahead in all of the crucial swing states. He predicts 312 electoral college votes for Trump versus 226 for Harris in a no toss-up map.
The figure is a massive upswing on the 227 Trump secured against Biden in 2020 and even an improvement on his victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016 when he romped to the White House with 304 electoral college votes. Silver had been forecasting a Harris victory until August 29, the date of her CNN interview alongside her running mate Tim Walz.
From then, Trump has steadily been gaining the advantage in his predictions and is now favored to win by the widest margin in several months. However, other pollsters are more conservative and have Harris marginally in the lead.
Last week, polling suggested that Harris received little to no boost following the Democratic convention and showed Trump ahead of the vice president in several crucial swing states. A Trafalgar Group survey of seven of the toughest contests – considered by experts to be Georgia, Arizona, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, North Carolina and Nevada – show Trump either in the lead or even with Harris.”
